2024 NFL playoff picture AFC NFC seed projections chances
We re looking ahead to how the 14-team playoff picture could line up en route to Super Bowl LIX
Bill Barnwell predicts the NFL playoffs: [608x342] (Credit: Illustration by ESPN)
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We're through Week 1 of the 2024 NFL regular season, and while the postseason is still months away, we're taking an early look at the current playoff picture and the road to Super Bowl LIX.
Which teams are already in good shape at this point? Which ones still have a lot of work to do to ultimately get into the 14-team field? We used ESPN's Football Power Index to project the rest of the season, looking at the playoff picture for both conferences. We included updated odds for every team to make the postseason, clinch the division and even make the Super Bowl. Here's everything you need right now.
Last update: Sept. 13 at 8:25 a.m. ET
Jump to a conference:
AFC | NFC
Projecting the AFC playoff field
After a close win over the Ravens on the opening night of the NFL season, the Chiefs currently have the league's highest percentage chance to make the playoffs at 91%. Baltimore, despite the win, has the best chance to make the playoffs among 0-1 teams at 60% (eighth-highest overall and fourth-highest in the conference).
But what happened to the Bengals? They entered the season with the fifth-best chance to make the postseason at 66%. After their Week 1 loss to the Patriots, they now rank 10th (and sixth in the AFC) at 45%. Joe Burrow and his Cincinnati team have some work to do.
On Thursday night, the Bills helped their cause by beating the Dolphins on the road. They are now at 78% to make the playoffs (fifth-highest overall and second-best in the AFC), while Miami fell to 54% (ninth overall and fifth in the conference).
New England entered the season with the NFL's lowest odds to make the playoffs, per ESPN's FPI (6%). Now? The Pats are up to 16% -- 28th overall and 14th in the AFC.
Projecting the NFC playoff field
After their win against the Jets on Monday night, the 49ers now have a 84% chance to make the playoffs -- which is tops in the NFC. Detroit rose from 70% to 79% with a Sunday night win over the Rams, and the Eagles sit at 83% after beating the Packers.
The NFC South could be a division to watch. The Falcons came into Week 1 with a 60% chance to make the playoffs and a 34% chance to win the division. Those numbers are now 39% and 24%, respectively, after Pittsburgh stymied the Kirk Cousins-led offense. Meanwhile, the Saints and Buccaneers are both over 50% to make the playoffs after big Week 1 wins.
Things don't look great for the Panthers and Giants. Both teams are below 6% to make the playoffs after just one game. Bryce Young and Daniel Jones combined for zero touchdown throws, four interceptions and nine sacks in their Week 1 outings.
NFL playoff schedule
Jan. 11-13: Wild-card round
Jan. 18-19: Divisional round
Jan. 26: AFC and NFC championship games
Feb. 9: Super Bowl LIX (in New Orleans)
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["Clippers leading scorer Norman Powell to miss two games with hamstring \ninjury? Los Angeles Clippers leading scorer Norman Powell was out of Wednesday \nnight's lineup against the Orlando Magic with a hamstring injury.","LA Clippers Coach Reveals Injury Update on Star Player? Following a disappointing offseason that saw the Los Angeles Clippers bid \nfarewell to the Paul George-Kawhi Leonard era, it seemed as if the","Norman Powell's absence could mean big opportunity for this role player? The LA Clippers are coming off huge back-to-back wins over the Utah Jazz \nand Golden State Warriors. The Jazz win was significant because it","Clippers leading scorer Norman Powell to miss 2 games with hamstring injury? Los Angeles Clippers guard Norman Powell, right, shoots as Utah Jazz \nforward Lauri Markkanen defends during the second half of an NBA","Los Angeles Clippers\u2019 leading scorer ruled out for NBA Cup game against \nSacramento Kings? Los Angeles Clippers guard Norman Powell ruled out for NBA Cup game against \nthe Sacramento Kings at Intuit Dome due to hamstring injury.","Norman Powell injury update for November 20? Clippers SG Norman Powell is averaging a career-high 23.3 points per game \nthis season, but is now sidelined with an injury.","LA Clippers\u2019 Normal Powell Suffers Hamstring Injury vs Warriors? Curious about Norman Powell's recent injury? Get all the details on his \nhamstring strain and how it's affecting the LA Clippers.","Norman Powell Injury: Ruled out next two games? Powell (hamstring) is out for Wednesday's game against the Magic and has \nalready been ruled out for Friday's game against Sacramento,","Norman Powell will not play against Magic? Janis Carr: Norm Powell is listed as OUT for tomorrow's game vs. Magic \nbecause of that left hamstring strain he suffered Monday. And in","Clippers' Powell to miss 2 games with hamstring injury? INGLEWOOD, Calif. (AP) \u2014 Los Angeles Clippers leading scorer Norman Powell \nwas out of Wednesday night's lineup against the Orlando Magic","Practice report: How loss of Jalen Duren impacted Pistons' early season \ndefeat to Hornets? Jalen Duren's ankle injury was vital in the Pistons' first meeting of the \nseason against the Hornets on Nov. 6.","Pistons, Jalen Duren look to rebound in rematch with Hornets? In the first meeting against the Hornets, Jalen Duren exited early with an \nankle injury and the Pistons lost on an offensive putback at the","Key Player Downgraded on Injury Report for Warriors-Hawks? The Golden State Warriors are hosting the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday night \nas they look to get back in the win column after their loss to","Gary Payton Injury: Iffy for Wednesday? Payton is questionable for Wednesday's game against the Hawks due to right \ncalf tightness.","Gary Payton II (calf) listed questionable Wednesday? Payton remains off the fantasy radar in his current role.","Warriors' Gary Payton: Officially playing Wednesday? Payton (calf) is active for Wednesday's game against Atlanta. Payton will \nmaintain his perfect attendance on the season despite dealing with","Anthony Slater: Gary Payton II has been added to the Warriors\u2019 injury \nreport tonight vs Hawks. Que\u2026? Anthony Slater: Gary Payton II has been added to the Warriors' injury \nreport tonight vs Hawks. Questionable. Right calf tightness.","Warriors' Gary Payton: Iffy for Wednesday? Payton is questionable for Wednesday's game against the Hawks due to right \ncalf tightness. Payton was a very late addition to the injury","Gary Payton News: Officially playing Wednesday? Payton (calf) is active for Wednesday's game against Atlanta.","The Simpsons: Milhouse voice actor Pamela Hayden retires from show after 35 \nyears? After almost 700 episodes playing Bart's bespectacled and beleaguered best \nfriend, the voice actor is moving on to other opportunities.","Trump\u2019s Latest \u2018Endorsement\u2019 Grift Targets Rock Music Fans? The President-elect is hawking a new kind of product\u2013with some priced at \n$10000 each.","'The Simpsons' Fans Demand Show End After 'Devastating' Retirement of Voice \nActress? Fans of 'The Simpsons' are upset after learning that one voice actress, \nPamela Hayden, who has been with the beloved animated series for 35","Pamela Hayden, longtime 'Simpsons' voice actor, including Bart's friend \nMilhouse, hangs up her mic? The longtime voice actor behind Milhouse Van Houten \u2014 Bart Simpson's very \nuncool friend \u2014 is stepping away after 35 years of whining.","The Voice Of Milhouse Retires From \u2018The Simpsons\u2019? Pamela Hayden, who has voiced iconic Simpsons characters including Milhouse \nand Jimbo Jones, is retiring from the show after 35 years.","\u2018The Simpsons\u2019 Voice Actor Pamela Hayden Retiring After 35 Years? Pamela Hayden, the voice of Milhouse and dozens of other characters on 'The \nSimpsons,' is retiring from the show.","The Simpsons voice actor retires after voicing beloved character for 35 \nyears and nearly 700 episodes? Pamela Hayden has voiced Bart's friend Milhouse Van Houten for the past \nthree decades in addition to dozens more characters.","Pamela Hayden, the Voice of Bart\u2019s Friend Milhouse, Retires From \u2018The \nSimpsons\u2019? Pamela Hayden, who has voiced characters on \u201cThe Simpsons\u201d since it began \nin 1989 and famously played Bart's nerdy best friend Milhouse Van","Pamela Hayden, longtime \u2018Simpsons\u2019 voice actor, including Bart\u2019s friend \nMilhouse, hangs up her mic? Voice of 'The Simpsons' nerd Milhouse Van Houten leaving the show on Nov. \n24.","The Voice of Milhouse on The Simpsons Is Retiring After 35 Years? Pamela Hayden, who's voiced Bart's best friend Milhouse Van Houten and a \nnumber of other characters on The Simpsons for the past 35 years,","CMA Awards 2024 recap: All the biggest wins and epic performances? The biggest names in country music were honored at the 2024 CMA Awards \nWednesday night. Morgan Wallen, who had the most nominations going","Why Peyton Manning is hosting the 2024 CMA Awards with Luke Bryan and \nLainey Wilson? The 2024 CMAs will come to you live from Bridgestone Arena in Nashville on \nWednesday, Nov. 20. This will be the 58th edition of these","Peyton Manning rocks his college football uniform ahead of co-hosting gig \nat 2024 CMA Awards? NFL star Peyton Manning is back to co-host the 2024 CMA Awards. He'll be \njoining co-hosts country stars Luke Bryan and Lainey Wilson.","Peyton Manning discusses co-hosting CMA Awards, Morgan Wallen, his 2024 in \ncountry music? 2024 CMA Awards co-host and hall-of-fame quarterback Peyton Manning \ndiscusses various reflections on the year he's spent in and around","CMA Awards Host Peyton Manning Trades the Pigskin for a Mic: Watch NFL \nLegend Sing a Trio of Country Classics? In these three live country music performances, Peyton Manning proves he \ncan do far more than throw a footballWell, kinda.","Peyton Manning discusses co-hosting CMA Awards, Morgan Wallen, his 2024 in \ncountry music? 2024 CMA Awards co-host and hall-of-fame quarterback Peyton Manning \ndiscusses various reflections on the year he's spent in and around","Peyton Manning loves witnessing special moments onstage + backstage as CMA \nAwards host: \u2018That\u2019s the best part\u2019? Sure, being part of Country Music's Biggest Night is exciting. But for \nco-host Peyton Manning, witnessing special moments onstage and","Earth's magnetic North Pole is shifting toward Russia. What does that mean?? The Earth's magnetic North Pole is currently moving toward Russia in a way \nthat British scientists have not seen before.","Earth's Magnetic North Pole Moving Closer To Russia. Here's What It Means? The molten iron in Earth's outer core flows in unpredictable ways, causing \nthe magnetic poles to shift.","Earth\u2019s magnetic North Pole is moving toward Russia \u2014 here\u2019s what it means? The British Geological Survey (BGS) works with the US National Oceanic and \nAtmospheric Administration to produce the World Magnetic Model,","Earth's Magnetic North Pole Is Moving Toward Russia?? It would be more unusual if the magnetic North Pole weren't moving at all.","\"Santa now on sanctions list!\" - Internet react hilariously to report \nEarth's magnetic pole moving toward Russia? The Earth's magnetic pole is naturally gravitating towards Russia, at \nunprecedented speeds, at that, baffling British scientists along the","Magnetic North Pole's unexpected shift alarms scientists? We process your data to deliver content or advertisements and measure the \ndelivery of such content or advertisements to extract insights about our \nwebsite.","Is Earth's magnetic North Pole moving closer to Russia?? Earth's magnetic North Pole is moving at an unprecedented rate. It is \nsteadily moving towards Russia in a way that has not been seen before.","Earth's magnetic North Pole is shifting toward Russia. What does that mean?? The Earth's magnetic North Pole is currently moving toward Russia in a way \nthat British scientists have not seen before.","Magnetic North Pole moves closer to Russia in way never seen before by \nscientists? Scientists have detected unexpected activity in the high Arctic as the \nmagnetic North Pole heads towards Russia in a way that has never been","Why Is the Magnetic North Pole Moving Closer to Russia?? For centuries, the magnetic north pole steadily tracked along Canada's \nnorthern shore. But in recent decades, it has taken a new path,","UCLA 84-70 Idaho State (Nov 20, 2024) Game Recap? Expert recap and game analysis of the UCLA Bruins vs. Idaho State Bengals \nNCAAM game from November 20, 2024 on ESPN.","How to watch UCLA Bruins vs. Idaho State Bengals: Live stream, TV channel, \nstart time for Wednesday's NCAA Basketball game? Only one more half stands between UCLA and the win they were favored to \ncollect coming into this evening. They have a bit of a cushion as","NCAA Basketball: Idaho State at UCLA | Fieldlevel | mdjonline.com? Nov 20, 2024; Los Angeles, California, USA; UCLA Bruins guard Sebastian \nMack (12) shoots the ball against the Idaho State Bengals in the","UCLA Bruins Insider Podcast: Complete Recap of Bruins Third-Straight Win? Our latest episode of the UCLA Bruins Insider Podcast recaps the Bruins \ndominant win on Wednesday night, taking down Idaho State for their","UCLA scorches the nets in a 14 point win? Los Angeles- Eric Dailey Jr. was perfect from the field in the first half, \nand finished the game with 16 points on 7-of-9 shooting.","UCLA faces Idaho State in non-conference action? Idaho State Bengals (2-3) at UCLA Bruins (3-1). Los Angeles; Wednesday, 11 \np.m. EST. BETMGM SPORTSBOOK LINE: Bruins -23.5; over\/under is","4 Bruins to Watch in Idaho State Game? UCLA will be looking for a third straight victory when it hosts Idaho State \non Wednesday night. Some Bruins thrived in the team's latest win","Tyler Bilodeau and Eric Dailey Jr. lead UCLA to a win over Idaho State? Tyler Bilodeau and Eric Dailey Jr. account for nearly half of UCLA's \noffense during win over Idaho at Pauley Pavilion.","NCAA Basketball: Idaho State at UCLA? Nov 20, 2024; Los Angeles, California, USA; UCLA Bruins guard Sebastian \nMack (12) shoots the ball against the Idaho State Bengals in the","NCAA Basketball: Idaho State at UCLA? Nov 20, 2024; Los Angeles, California, USA; Big Ten Network analyst Don \nMacLean (left) interviews UCLA Bruins forward Tyler Bilodeau (34)","Bruins' Cronin Looking For Leadership, on His Team? The UCLA Bruins have a group of experienced and talented ballplayers but \nhave not quite established a concrete leader or solidified a go-to","UCLA continues to sort out playing rotation without \u2018clear-cut leader\u2019? Mick Cronin isn't going to play doctor anytime soon as the UCLA men's \nbasketball team awaits the return of point guard Dylan Andrews. For","VIDEO: UCLA basketball practice, featuring on-air offensive passing and \nscreening drills? Watch 10 minutes of UCLA basketball practice, featuring some on-air \noffensive passing and screening drills.","WATCH: Coach Mick Cronin, UCLA players look back on first week? Skyy Clark and Lazar Stefanovic joined their head coach in looking back on \nthe first week of the season for the Bruins.","UCLA Bruins Basketball: Roster Dynamics and Early Challenges? In this episode of the Locked on UCLA Podcast, host Zach Anderson-Yoxsimer \ndelves into the evolving dynamics of the UCLA Bruins basketball","UCLA Bruins Insider Podcast: Basketball Presser Quotes, Game Day Prep? Our latest episode of the UCLA Bruins Insider Podcast takes a look at what \na few players and head coach Mick Cronin said at practice earlier","Bruins' Veteran Guard Could Possibly Return From Injury This Week? The UCLA Bruins have received their first injury of the season as junior \nguard Dylan Andrews has missed the past two games with a minor","WATCH: Mick Cronin, UCLA players talk before Tuesday\u2019s practice? WATCH: Mick Cronin, UCLA players talk before Tuesday's practice UCLA \nsecured two victories last week and will be back on the floor Wednesday","UCLA Bruins Insider Podcast: Bruins Hoops Breakdown, Standout Players So Far? Our latest episode of the UCLA Bruins Insider Podcast finishes breaking \ndown the Bruins' dominant win over Lehigh on Friday night and","Mick Cronin on Improved Effort, Missed Shots, Defense in Win Over Boston U? UCLA's Mick Cronin talked with the media about the team's improved effort \nin the win over Boston U and relying on defense when the offense","Dierks Bentley, Molly Tuttle Close CMA Awards With Bluegrass Take on \n\u2018American Girl\u2019? Dierks Bentley, Molly Tuttle, Sierra Hull, and Bronwyn Keith-Hynes cover \nTom Petty's 'American Girl' to close out the 2024 CMA Awards.","Dierks Bentley Leads a Bluegrass-Flavored CMAs Tom Petty Tribute? Bentley led a group of bluegrass' biggest stars for this tribute to Tom \nPetty. Continue reading\u2026","Dierks Bentley Leads a Bluegrass-Flavored CMAs Tom Petty Tribute? Dierks Bentley rounded up some of the biggest stars in bluegrass for a \none-of-a-kind tribute to the late Tom Petty at the 2024 CMA Awards on","2024 CMA Awards: Dierks Bentley, bluegrass stars, cover Tom Petty's \n'American Girl'? Dierks Bentley joining with a trio of award-winning female bluegrass \nperformers for a spirited take on \"American Girl.\"","Dierks Bentley Assembles a Bluegrass Dream Team for \"American Girl\" at the \n2024 CMA Awards? Dierks Bentley tapped Sierra Hull, Molly Tuttle, and Bronwyn Keith-Hynes to \njoin him for a bluegrass rendition of the Tom Petty classic.","Dierks Bentley, Molly Tuttle Close CMA Awards With Bluegrass Take on \n\u2018American Girl\u2019? Sierra Hull, Bronwyn Keith-Hynes, and Charlie Worsham also join in on a \nstring-music rendition of Tom Petty's 1977 hit.","This weekend's racing? This weekend will see Formula 1 hit the streets of Las Vegas, where Max \nVerstappen will have a chance of securing the 2024 Drivers' title","Racing on TV, November 15-17? This weekend's racing lineup features diverse motorsport events across \nvarious platforms. Notably, NHRA racing will be broadcast with some","Racing on TV, November 21-24? Key: SDD: Same day delay; D = delayed; R = Replay. FIA WEC is available on \nMax's B\/R Sports Add-On in addition to Motor Trend.","BREAKING: Morgan Wallen (Not Waylon) Wins CMA Entertainer of the Year? Morgan Wallen won the most coveted trophy of the night \u2014 Entertainer of the \nYear \u2014 at the 2024 CMA Awards on Wednesday night (Nov. 20)."]
Clippers leading scorer Norman Powell to miss 2 games with hamstring injury? Los Angeles Clippers guard Norman Powell, right, shoots as Utah Jazz
forward Lauri Markkanen defends during the second half of an NBA
Norman Powell Injury: Ruled out next two games? Powell (hamstring) is out for Wednesday's game against the Magic and has
already been ruled out for Friday's game against Sacramento,Pistons, Jalen Duren look to rebound in rematch with Hornets? In the first meeting against the Hornets, Jalen Duren exited early with an
ankle injury and the Pistons lost on an offensive putback at the
Warriors' Gary Payton: Officially playing Wednesday? Payton (calf) is active for Wednesday's game against Atlanta. Payton will
maintain his perfect attendance on the season despite dealing with
The Simpsons: Milhouse voice actor Pamela Hayden retires from show after 35
years? After almost 700 episodes playing Bart's bespectacled and beleaguered best
friend, the voice actor is moving on to other opportunities.The Voice Of Milhouse Retires From ‘The Simpsons’? Pamela Hayden, who has voiced iconic Simpsons characters including Milhouse
and Jimbo Jones, is retiring from the show after 35 years.
Pamela Hayden, longtime ‘Simpsons’ voice actor, including Bart’s friend
Milhouse, hangs up her mic? Voice of 'The Simpsons' nerd Milhouse Van Houten leaving the show on Nov.
24.
Peyton Manning rocks his college football uniform ahead of co-hosting gig
at 2024 CMA Awards? NFL star Peyton Manning is back to co-host the 2024 CMA Awards. He'll be
joining co-hosts country stars Luke Bryan and Lainey Wilson.Peyton Manning loves witnessing special moments onstage + backstage as CMA
Awards host: ‘That’s the best part’? Sure, being part of Country Music's Biggest Night is exciting. But for
co-host Peyton Manning, witnessing special moments onstage and
Earth's Magnetic North Pole Is Moving Toward Russia?? It would be more unusual if the magnetic North Pole weren't moving at all.
Earth's magnetic North Pole is shifting toward Russia. What does that mean?? The Earth's magnetic North Pole is currently moving toward Russia in a way
that British scientists have not seen before.How to watch UCLA Bruins vs. Idaho State Bengals: Live stream, TV channel,
start time for Wednesday's NCAA Basketball game? Only one more half stands between UCLA and the win they were favored to
collect coming into this evening. They have a bit of a cushion as
UCLA faces Idaho State in non-conference action? Idaho State Bengals (2-3) at UCLA Bruins (3-1). Los Angeles; Wednesday, 11
p.m. EST. BETMGM SPORTSBOOK LINE: Bruins -23.5; over/under is
NCAA Basketball: Idaho State at UCLA? Nov 20, 2024; Los Angeles, California, USA; Big Ten Network analyst Don
MacLean (left) interviews UCLA Bruins forward Tyler Bilodeau (34)WATCH: Coach Mick Cronin, UCLA players look back on first week? Skyy Clark and Lazar Stefanovic joined their head coach in looking back on
the first week of the season for the Bruins.
WATCH: Mick Cronin, UCLA players talk before Tuesday’s practice? WATCH: Mick Cronin, UCLA players talk before Tuesday's practice UCLA
secured two victories last week and will be back on the floor Wednesday
Dierks Bentley Leads a Bluegrass-Flavored CMAs Tom Petty Tribute? Bentley led a group of bluegrass' biggest stars for this tribute to Tom
Petty. Continue reading…Dierks Bentley, Molly Tuttle Close CMA Awards With Bluegrass Take on
‘American Girl’? Sierra Hull, Bronwyn Keith-Hynes, and Charlie Worsham also join in on a
string-music rendition of Tom Petty's 1977 hit.
BREAKING: Morgan Wallen (Not Waylon) Wins CMA Entertainer of the Year? Morgan Wallen won the most coveted trophy of the night — Entertainer of the
Year — at the 2024 CMA Awards on Wednesday night (Nov. 20).
![Bill Barnwell predicts the NFL playoffs: [608x342]](https://a.espncdn.com/photo/2024/0108/nfl_barnwell-predicts-playoffs_16x9_608x342.jpg)
